Indian Economy 1950-1990 (Planning Period)
Introduction
The period from 1950 to 1990 is considered the Planning Period** in Indian economic history. After gaining independence, India adopted a strategy of planned economic development, believing that a centrally directed approach was necessary to overcome the legacy of colonial underdevelopment, achieve rapid industrialization, reduce poverty, and ensure equitable distribution of resources.
This era was characterized by the formulation and implementation of successive Five-Year Plans, which guided the nation's economic policies, resource allocation, and development priorities.
What Is A Plan?
A plan**, in the context of economics, is a detailed document outlining specific goals and objectives that an economy aims to achieve over a defined period, along with the strategies and policies to be employed to reach those goals.
- Resource Allocation: A plan details how the nation's scarce resources (land, labour, capital) will be allocated among different sectors and activities.
- Setting Targets: It sets targets for growth in various sectors like agriculture, industry, and services, as well as targets for employment, poverty reduction, and social development.
- Policy Framework: It outlines the policies (fiscal, monetary, trade, industrial) that the government will pursue to achieve the plan's objectives.
- Time-Bound: Plans are typically time-bound, with Five-Year Plans being the most common framework in India.
The planning process in India was intended to bring about a structural transformation of the economy and ensure that development benefited all sections of society.
The Goals Of Five Year Plans
The Five-Year Plans formulated by the Planning Commission had overarching goals aimed at transforming India's economy and society:
- Economic Growth: Achieving a high rate of economic growth to increase the national income and per capita income.
- Self-Reliance: Reducing dependence on foreign countries for essential goods, technology, and financial resources.
- Modernization: Transforming the economy by adopting modern technologies, industrializing the country, and developing a modern outlook.
- Reduction of Inequality: Reducing income and wealth disparities and ensuring a more equitable distribution of resources and opportunities.
- Poverty Alleviation: Tackling widespread poverty and raising the living standards of the poorest sections of society.
- Employment Generation: Creating sufficient employment opportunities to absorb the growing workforce.
These goals were pursued through a strategy heavily reliant on state-led planning, industrialization, and import substitution.
Mahalanobis: The Architect Of Indian Planning
Professor P.C. Mahalanobis is widely regarded as the architect of Indian planning**. His ideas heavily influenced the direction of India's economic policy, particularly in the Second Five Year Plan.
- Focus on Heavy Industry: Mahalanobis argued that rapid industrialization, particularly in heavy industries (like steel, mining, heavy machinery), was crucial for long-term economic growth and self-reliance. He believed that investing in these sectors would create employment and generate the capital goods needed for further development.
- Two-Sector Model: He proposed a two-sector model for planning: one sector focused on producing capital goods, and the other on producing consumer goods. His strategy emphasized prioritizing the capital goods sector to ensure future growth.
- Influence on Second Plan: The Second Five Year Plan (1956-1961) largely adopted Mahalanobis's model, shifting the focus from agriculture (emphasized in the First Plan) to rapid industrialization, especially heavy industries in the public sector.
- Debate: Mahalanobis's strategy was also debated, with critics arguing that it neglected agriculture and employment generation in the short term.
The Service Sector
While the early Five-Year Plans primarily focused on agriculture and industry, the importance of the service sector** gradually increased. However, it was not always the primary focus in the initial decades.
- Early Plans: The emphasis was on building basic infrastructure (transport, communication) and foundational industries.
- Growth Over Time: As the economy developed and diversified, the service sector (including trade, finance, education, healthcare, IT, etc.) began to grow significantly, especially from the 1980s onwards and more rapidly after the liberalization reforms of 1991.
- Contribution to GDP: By the end of the planning period (around 1990), the service sector had become a significant contributor to India's GDP, although agriculture still employed a larger proportion of the workforce.
Agriculture
Agriculture remained a central focus of India's Five-Year Plans, given its importance for food security, employment, and raw materials.
Ownership And Incentives
Addressing issues of land ownership and providing incentives for farmers were key policy areas:
- Land Reforms: Efforts were made to abolish intermediary tenure systems (like Zamindari), regulate rent, provide security of tenure to tenants, and implement land ceilings (limiting the amount of land an individual could own). The aim was to make agriculture more equitable and productive.
- Ownership of Land: The goal was often to give land ownership rights to the actual cultivators (tiller), believing this would provide them with greater security and a stronger incentive to invest in and improve the land.
- Incentives: Providing incentives to farmers was seen as crucial for increasing production. This included:
- Price Support: Governments announced minimum support prices (MSPs) for various crops to ensure that farmers received a fair price and were not exploited by intermediaries.
- Access to Inputs: Efforts to improve access to quality seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, and credit facilities.
- Technological Advancement: Promoting the adoption of modern farming techniques and the use of better inputs.
- Effectiveness: While these policies aimed to improve the agricultural sector, their implementation was often uneven, and many reforms faced challenges due to political resistance, lack of administrative capacity, and loopholes.
Prices As Signals
In a planned economy, prices are intended to act as signals to guide economic decisions, although their role differs from that in a market economy.
- Government Control: In planned economies, the government often controls the prices of essential goods and agricultural produce.
- Price Support for Farmers: The government uses price signals (like MSPs) to encourage farmers to produce specific crops that are in demand or needed for national security (e.g., food grains). If the MSP is set at a remunerative level, it signals to farmers to allocate more resources to that crop.
- Consumer Prices: Prices of essential commodities might be kept low through subsidies to ensure affordability for the masses.
- Limitations of Price Signals: However, when prices are heavily administered or subsidized, they may not accurately reflect the true scarcity or demand for a product. This can lead to distortions, shortages, or surpluses if the administered prices are not aligned with market realities or production costs.
The use of price signals in a planned economy is a tool for government intervention to achieve specific socio-economic goals.
Industry And Trade
Industry and trade policies during the planning period (1950-1990) were guided by the overarching goals of self-reliance, rapid industrialization, and import substitution.
- Emphasis on Heavy Industry: Following Mahalanobis's strategy, significant emphasis was placed on developing heavy industries like steel, mining, machinery, and chemicals, often through public sector enterprises (PSUs). The Second and Third Five-Year Plans were particularly instrumental in this regard.
- Public Sector Dominance: The Industrial Policy Resolution of 1956 reserved a wide range of key industries exclusively for the public sector, believing that the state was the most suitable agency for developing these strategic sectors and ensuring equitable distribution.
- Protectionism: Indian industries were protected from foreign competition through high tariffs and quantitative restrictions on imports.
- Licensing System ('License Raj'):** Businesses needed government licenses for almost every aspect of their operations, from setting up a factory to expanding production or importing raw materials. This system aimed to control and direct industrial development but was often criticized for its inefficiency, corruption, and stifling of private enterprise.
- Trade Policy: India pursued a policy of import substitution, aiming to produce goods domestically that were previously imported. This involved imposing high tariffs and import restrictions to protect nascent domestic industries.
These policies aimed to build a strong indigenous industrial base and reduce dependence on foreign powers.
Trade Policy: Import Substitution
Import Substitution** was a cornerstone of India's trade policy during the planning period (1950-1990). The strategy aimed to reduce dependence on foreign countries by promoting domestic production of goods that were previously imported.
- Objective: To achieve self-reliance, conserve foreign exchange reserves, and foster the growth of indigenous industries.
- Mechanisms: This policy was implemented through several measures:
- High Tariffs: Imposing heavy taxes on imported goods to make them more expensive and less competitive compared to domestically produced goods.
- Import Quotas: Restricting the quantity of specific goods that could be imported.
- Licensing Requirements: Requiring licenses for importing necessary raw materials or machinery, often granted selectively.
- Protection for Domestic Industries: Shielding nascent Indian industries from international competition, allowing them time to grow and develop.
- Outcomes:
- Growth of Domestic Industries: It led to the development of a range of domestic industries, including capital goods, consumer durables, and intermediate goods.
- Self-Sufficiency in Some Areas: India achieved a degree of self-sufficiency in certain sectors.
- Criticisms: However, the policy also faced criticism for:
- Inefficiency: Protected industries often lacked the incentive to become efficient or innovative due to limited competition.
- Low Quality: Products were sometimes of lower quality compared to international standards.
- High Costs: Domestic production could be more expensive due to inefficient processes and lack of scale.
- Reduced Consumer Choice: Consumers had limited access to foreign goods.
- Lack of Export Competitiveness: Indian industries often struggled to compete in international markets.
Import substitution was a key strategy aimed at building national economic strength but had mixed results and long-term consequences.
Conclusion
The planning period in India (1950-1990) was a unique experiment in state-led development. The core strategy revolved around achieving self-reliance through planning, prioritizing industrialization (especially heavy industries), implementing import substitution trade policies, and undertaking land reforms.
- Achievements: This period saw the establishment of a diversified industrial base, significant improvements in infrastructure, increased food grain production (Green Revolution), and the creation of a substantial public sector. It also laid the groundwork for scientific and technological advancements.
- Criticisms and Challenges: However, the planned economy also faced criticism for its inefficiencies, the "License Raj," slow growth rates compared to some East Asian economies, rising unemployment, persistent poverty, and lack of dynamism in the private sector.
- Legacy: The planning period left a mixed legacy, establishing crucial foundations for future growth but also creating structural rigidities that would necessitate significant economic reforms in the 1990s. The debates and controversies from this era continue to inform economic policy discussions in India.